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Dendrochronology From Rogeri to Mittenwald

How Science Identified a Violin
  • Blog
  • Dendrochronology From Rogeri to Mittenwald
  • January 23, 2026 by
    Dendrochronology From Rogeri to Mittenwald
    Ronald Moretto

    This article tells the full story of a violin that arrived in my workshop as an unknown, unlabeled instrument and left with a clear historical identity. It is a story about process: how violin authentication actually works when stylistic analysis, historical context, and scientific methods are combined.

    The violin and its owner

    The violin belongs to a professional violinist who has cared for it meticulously for many years. He knew only a few things for certain: the instrument was old, extremely delicate, and exceptionally good-sounding, balanced, rich in harmonics, with strong projection. He acquired it from another professional violinist, and no firm attribution had ever been established.

    A previous luthier had already suggested that the violin looked very old and deserved proper certification. When it arrived at my workshop, the question was simple but profound: what is this violin, and where does it come from?

    First observations and the label

    Violino Cópia de Pietro G. Rogeri feito em Mittenwald circa 1800

    The first step was visual and physical examination. The violin felt old in every respect: the wood, the wear, the construction details. When I looked for a label, I initially thought there was none. Only after careful cleaning with a very soft brush did a label slowly emerge.

    To the naked eye it was almost unreadable, darkened by age and dust. Using ultraviolet and infrared light, together with oblique illumination and digital imaging, faint lettering became visible. The text was in Latin and corresponded exactly to a Pietro Giacomo Rogeri label. The date began with “17”, but the last two digits were completely illegible.

    Labels alone are never proof. Still, this was an important clue. The spelling, layout, and language were consistent with original Rogeri labels, unlike many later copies that contain deliberate misspellings intended to signal that they are copies. Combined with the apparent age of the instrument and the very tight, fine-grained spruce of the top, wood that visually appeared entirely consistent with Italian spruce, the hypothesis of an original Rogeri violin was, at that moment, reasonable.

     Construction clues and neck conversion

    Further examination showed clear evidence of a neck conversion from baroque to modern setup. The neck graft, heel geometry, and mortise work are all consistent with the large wave of conversions that took place roughly between the late 18th and early 19th centuries. This alone implies that the violin already existed before that period, placing it comfortably over 200 years old.

    Ultraviolet examination of the varnish also suggested significant age. While UV analysis cannot provide precise dating, the fluorescence and wear patterns were consistent with a varnish that had aged for many generations.

    At this stage, nothing contradicted the Rogeri hypothesis. But hypotheses are not conclusions.

    Imaging and CT scanning

    To avoid relying on subjective impressions alone, we decided to document the violin thoroughly. The instrument was scanned in a CT facility in Setúbal, Portugal. I guided the process and ensured that the violin was properly supported, while the scans themselves were performed by the imaging specialists.

    3D Rendering of CT Scan Images of the Mittenwald Violin

    3D Rendering of CT Scan Images of the Mittenwald Violin

    The CT data allowed us to extract accurate internal and external measurements, arching profiles, thickness distributions, and construction details. As expected for a violin of this age, some deformation was present, but the overall geometry showed partial consistency with Rogeri-type models. Again, this was suggestive, not decisive.


      Dendrochronology: method and challenges

    Violin Spruce Showing Anual Rings used for Dendrochronology

    Dendrochronology became the critical tool. The goal is simple in principle: measure the annual growth rings of the spruce top and compare that sequence to reference chronologies from known regions and other instruments.

    In practice, it is far from simple.

    Spruce for violin tops is traditionally split radially from the log and bookmatched. As a result, the youngest growth rings,  those closest to the bark, end up near the centre joint of the violin, directly under the tailpiece. This detail is crucial.

    If the tailpiece remains in place, it can easily cover 10–20 years of growth rings. In instruments by makers with well-defined lifespans (Rogeri, Stradivari, Guarneri), missing even a single decade can invalidate or falsely support an attribution.

    For exploratory or low-stakes cases, dendrochronology with the tailpiece in place may still provide useful information. For high-stakes historical attribution, it is not sufficient.

      First dendro attempts and false positives

    Initial dendro attempts were unusually difficult. The grain was extremely tight, the varnish damaged, and the signal ambiguous. This difficulty itself reinforced the emotional expectation that the violin might be something exceptional.

    Some correlations appeared promising. The violin showed visual and statistical similarities with known Rogeri instruments and even with the Stradivari Messiah, which has been extensively studied dendrochronologically. However, these correlations occurred at different dates. This is a classic example of a false positive: acceptable statistics that do not survive historical and chronological constraints.

    Dendrochronology is not just statistics. Constraints matter: the maker’s lifetime, known ownership history, and physical plausibility must all agree. When these constraints were applied, no Italian master chronology produced a result strong enough to confirm a Rogeri attribution.

      Improved acquisition and decisive results

    At that point, the only responsible step was to improve the data.

    Moretto Violins Dendrochronology

    The strings and tailpiece were removed. Higher-resolution acquisition equipment was used, reaching at least 1200 DPI. With clearer access to the centre of the top, the ring sequence could be measured with greater precision.

    This time, the result was unequivocal.

    The spruce matched strongly with Austrian reference chronologies, specifically from the Obergurgl region. The youngest measured ring dated to 1784, establishing the earliest possible felling date of the tree. When this data was cross-compared again with other instruments, the correlations remained, but now aligned consistently at this later date.

    Moretto Violins Dendrochronology


      Geography, trade routes, and Mittenwald

    Obergurgl lies on the northern side of the Alps. Historically, Alpine timber followed river systems northward, supplying workshops in regions such as Mittenwald. South of the Alps, different river networks supplied Cremona and Brescia.

    To the eye, Austrian Alpine spruce can be almost indistinguishable from Italian spruce: tight grain, high density, excellent acoustic properties. Geography, not appearance, determines where that wood was used.

    The final piece of the puzzle came from the CT scans and internal inspection: the presence of “MW” marks inside the instrument. Combined with the dendrochronological date, wood provenance, model (a Rogeri copy), varnish characteristics, and construction details, the conclusion became unavoidable.

    This violin is a Mittenwald instrument, made around 1800, using Austrian Alpine spruce.

    Science, disappointment, and clarity

    As a scientist, the result was a success. The violin was dated, its origin identified, and its story clarified. As a human being, there was a brief moment of frustration; the hope of an original Rogeri naturally carries emotional weight.

    But clarity is more valuable than illusion.

    Today, this violin is no longer an unknown object with a mysterious label. It has an identity, a place in history, and a coherent narrative. For its owner, that knowledge matters. For me, the process itself is the lesson.

    This is what science can do for violins: not create legends, but reveal truth.

    Strings and Sound: How Different String Types Affect the Violin

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